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BIOUNCERTAINTY - ERC Starting Grant no. 805498

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October 2025

20251008
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8 October 2025 – Björn Lundgren – Three Accounts of Risk

Date: 08.10.2025
Start Time: 14:30
Place: Grodzka 52
Organiser: Interdisciplinary Centre for Ethics
8 October 2025 – Björn Lundgren – Three Accounts of Risk

We have the pleasure to invite you to another research seminar. Björn Lundgren will deliver a talk "Three Accounts of Risk". The meeting will take place exceptionally on October 8 at 2:30 PM in room 25 at 52 Grodzka Street and via the MS Teams platform.

Abstract

Standardly, risk is analysed in terms of probability times severity. Recently, two alternative accounts of risk have emerged that replace the probability component in the standard account with modal closeness and normalcy, respectively. Here, it is argued that non-standard accounts of risk are (1) in dire need of further conceptual improvement, and (2) unsuitable as part of any theory of normative decision-making, because they will lead to long-term worse outcomes.